Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 54.350714 61.884577 69.679149 78.314835 87.584168 97.206170 107.920523
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.790715 52.273817 63.714546 76.998912 91.875865 107.908561 126.379947
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 35.020509 47.075472 60.763858 77.192382 96.122853 117.023695 141.620200
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 29.940599 43.013851 58.398023 77.396480 99.815221 125.057098 155.264166
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 26.183608 40.015691 56.829261 78.118278 103.752704 133.087754 168.674288
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 22.330255 36.436039 54.167231 77.185428 105.451517 138.301369 178.661602
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 20.033277 34.611307 53.468493 78.458431 109.635280 146.312859 191.824228
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 18.203237 33.209542 53.146489 80.066035 114.125421 154.623680 205.306941
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 15.712460 30.613224 51.044819 79.230063 115.457619 159.044280 214.103286
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 13.147583 27.620496 48.177596 77.200261 115.129949 161.325283 220.238775
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 12.481902 27.444078 49.143904 80.190596 121.148177 171.371509 235.759368
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 11.590308 26.813006 49.401422 82.184850 125.865434 179.810650 249.348986
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.903765 24.723547 47.462301 81.142542 126.645961 183.397965 257.103564
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.396052 22.746999 45.549524 80.026445 127.251516 186.719079 264.511420
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.366640 21.482973 44.608909 80.190429 129.489664 192.060610 274.395196
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.462190 20.328294 43.750225 80.404489 131.749239 197.404214 284.274646
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.758476 19.467226 43.288578 81.142750 134.685626 203.600806 295.223849
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.826244 17.987567 41.724472 80.187746 135.258376 206.717273 302.285139
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.373130 17.469824 41.704217 81.491093 138.916455 213.826936 314.395758
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.014209 17.112021 41.923308 83.136773 143.044861 221.558033 327.316538
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.334970 15.866570 40.534299 82.281039 143.644880 224.649948 334.331085
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.594968 14.276952 38.414705 80.202919 142.450727 225.326700 338.222005
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.530190 14.506760 39.584472 83.264271 148.558464 235.684433 354.555974